president of telecommunication policy institute of telecom academe of MII, Mr. Chen Jinqiao

In telecommunication industry, president of telecommunication policy institute of telecom academe of MII, Mr. Chen Jinqiao is one of the experts who hold an optimistic view towards the development of 3G in China. He thinks that the development of 3G is advantageous from the cost-benefit point of view of telecom construction, and it makes for the deepen reform and organization optimization of telecom industry. Under current situation, how should we promote the development of 3G in China, especially the development of TD-SCDMA whose IPR is completely owned by China? During a recent interview by TD-SCDMA forum, Mr. Chen Jinqiao indicated that policies concerning further promoting the development of TD-SCDMA were under research by relevant departments.

Concerning TD-SCDMA technology and current development progress of the industrial chain, Mr. Chen Jinqiao thought that the integral promotion of TD-SCDMA was better than expected. He said that the R&D process and the completeness of industrial chain had been improved. Both the progress of R&D and test were better than the first period. It had developed into a relevant perfect period from imperfect period. The complete TD-SCDMA industrial chain was set up in China on the basis of Chinese corporations. In addition, supports to TD-SCDMA from all aspects were further carried out, including the financial support of the government. The allocation of finance became more concentrated which was highly beneficial for the promotion of the industrialization process. At the same time, the affiliation of many big companies greatly strengthened TD-SCDMA camp.
However, there was still a lot to be improved in the current development. Mr. Chen Jinqiao thought that firstly, TD-SCDMA camp was not strong enough. Although the number of joined companies was great, those who could tackle key problems were inadequate. Secondly, support policies from the government were not satisfied. For example, policies on resource allocation and business extension were not clear. The attitude of domestic telecom operators, especially those national basic telecom operators were still in a mist. These brought some negative effects to the promotion of industrialization. Thirdly, TD-SCDMA standard should be more perfected, and the preparation for industrialization should be more adequate. Mr. Chen Jinqiao emphasized that problems such as 3G business mode, interconnection and intercommunication and roaming were not problems specific to TD-SCDMA. All 3G standards faced the same problems. It needed the corporate efforts of 3G business cycle to solve.

As to the support of future policies, Mr. Chen Jinqiao thought that first the government should increase the support to TD-SCDMA development corporations, concerning the enhancement of core competitive competence of domestic enterprises and the balancing development of the companies. Second, the government should give policy support to those operators who constructed and operated TD-SCDMA network. This was very important. He disclosed that relevant policies were under research. Some experts suggested that policy should incline to TD-SCDMA on prices, network construction, resources sharing, interconnection and intercommunication, carriable phone number, and discount interest, etc. However these policies were not mature enough to publish. What’s more, the government would also give support to TD-SCDMA on national standard establishment.
Concerning the prospect of TD-SCDMA, Mr. Chen Jinqiao expected that TD-SCDMA was sure to hold an important position in the future 3G market of China. Its performance in global market would firstly be decided on Chinese market. He predicted that in the next three to five years, the capacity of 3G network would occupy about 60% of total mobile network capacity according to relevant research. Under proper circumstances, TD-SCDMA would account for 15% of 3G market share, which means that the capacity would reach 10 million. There would also be possibilities for TD-SCDMA to extend all over the world. He pointed that these restrict circumstances included: First, TD-SCDMA was able to construct network standalone. Second, TD-SCDMA was able to construct network with other standards, thus telecom operators and manufacturers would promote the TD-SCDMA industry. What’s most important, this would help its entering into the world market. Third, the evolution of TD-SCDMA technology should be an antecedent of the world to ensure the leading position of China in global 3G market.